Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 53.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
