Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
22.99% (![]() | 22.79% (![]() | 54.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% (![]() | 43.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% (![]() | 65.59% (![]() |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% (![]() | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% (![]() | 69.15% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.13% (![]() | 15.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.91% (![]() | 45.08% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 5.98% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.99% | 1-1 @ 10.67% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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