Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barbados in this match.