Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenada win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grenada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.