Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grenada win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grenada win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.