Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Mauritania1 - 1Congo DR
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mauritania and Congo DR.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Mauritania
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Congo DR |
46.46% ( 3.17) | 30.04% ( -0.88) | 23.51% ( -2.28) |
| Both teams to score 37.58% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
