World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 1
Zimbabwe

Osimhen (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chirewa (90')
Arubi (70'), Munetsi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Zimbabwe

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Zimbabwe 2-2 Benin
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.97%) and 3-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.13%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Zimbabwe
65.39% ( -0.44)	22.78% ( 0.32)	11.83% ( 0.12)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Nigeria	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 17.42% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 65.39%	0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 11.83%