World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Rwanda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
Nigeria national football team

Rwanda
0 - 2
Nigeria


Bizimana (46')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osimhen (11', 45+3')
Ndidi (49'), Iwobi (90'), Arokodare (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Rwanda and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Nigeria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Rwanda
Monday, November 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 30.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawNigeria
39.36% (-0.116 -0.12)30.62% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)30.02% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 39.81% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.5% (0.155 0.16)67.5% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.4% (0.103 0.1)85.6% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47% (0.012 0.01)33.54% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83% (0.012 0.01)70.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.89% (0.216 0.22)40.11% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.25% (0.198 0.2)76.75% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 39.36%
    Nigeria 30.01%
    Draw 30.62%
RwandaDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 14.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.36%
0-0 @ 13.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.62%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Rwanda vs Nigeria

Rwanda
24.1%
Draw
13.0%
Nigeria
63.0%
54
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2024 4pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
1-2
Rwanda
Chukwueze (59')
Ange (72'), Nshutiyamagara (75')
Bizimana (25'), Mugisha (29'), Nshutiyamagara (90')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-0
Nigeria
Niyomugabo (26'), Bizimana (28')
Chukwueze (26'), Aina (45+3')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2018 7.30pm
Group Stage
Nigeria
0-0
Rwanda
Mukunzi (32'), Djihad (93')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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