MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 00:24:01| >> :60:333:333:
Azerbaijan national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 25, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Bank Respublika Arena
Belarus national football team

Azerbaijan
0 - 2
Belarus


Madatov (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zabelin (60'), Demchenko (78')
Gavrilovich (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Azerbaijan and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-3 Haiti
Saturday, March 22 at 5.45pm in International Friendlies

Belarus

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-5 Belarus
Thursday, March 20 at 11am in International Friendlies

We said: Azerbaijan 1-2 Belarus

 Azerbaijan are a difficult team to back at the moment due to their struggles, and Belarus are a talented outfit with a lot of dangerous players in the final third of the field - it should be tight in terms of the scoreline, but we are expecting Belarus to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Belarus win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Belarus would win this match.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawBelarus
37.14% (-1.044 -1.04) 27.99% (0.627 0.63) 34.88% (0.41699999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 47.8% (-1.858 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.77% (-2.339 -2.34)58.23% (2.338 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.13% (-1.867 -1.87)78.87% (1.866 1.87)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.85% (-1.764 -1.76)30.15% (1.764 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.7% (-2.167 -2.17)66.3% (2.166 2.17)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43% (-0.90899999999999 -0.91)31.57% (0.908 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03% (-1.059 -1.06)67.97% (1.059 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 37.13%
    Belarus 34.87%
    Draw 27.98%
AzerbaijanDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.272 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.13%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.814 0.81)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.69 0.69)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.87%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Belarus

Azerbaijan
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Belarus
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2022 5pm
League C
Azerbaijan
2-0
Belarus
Madatov (76'), Seydayev (90+3')
Madatov (77')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
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Volkov (18'), Malkevich (31'), Khadarkevich (35'), Ebong (59')
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> Preview
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Friendlies 2
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1-2
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