UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Vasil Levski

Bulgaria
1 - 1
Belarus

Panayotov (12')
Nurnberger (31'), Milanov (56'), Popov (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kavalyow (70')
Prishchepa (10'), Ebong (53'), Karpovich (62'), Yablonski (64'), Palitsevich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Belarus

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Northern Ireland	0	0	0
2	Bulgaria	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Belarus	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Belarus
33.51% ( -0.62)	31.33% ( 0.09)	35.16% ( 0.52)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Bulgaria	Draw	Belarus
1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.63% Total : 33.5%	0-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.15) 1-1 @ 13.52% 2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.33%	0-1 @ 14.09% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 35.15%