UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Bulgaria national football team

Luxembourg
0 - 1
Bulgaria


Bohnert (58'), Jans (61'), Martins Pereira (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kraev (23')
Despodov (28'), Milanov (43'), Panayotov (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Bulgaria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawBulgaria
41.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.04% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)30.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8% (0.134 0.13)59.2% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38% (0.104 0.1)79.62% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.082999999999998 0.08)28.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (0.104 0.1)63.87% (-0.104 -0.1)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.03% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (0.080000000000002 0.08)71.78% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 41.33%
    Bulgaria 30.62%
    Draw 28.04%
LuxembourgDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.33%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 30.62%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria

Luxembourg
25.4%
Draw
24.6%
Bulgaria
50.0%
134
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 5pm
League C
Bulgaria
0-0
Luxembourg
Kolev (4'), Antov (20'), Petkov (45'), Atanasov (51'), Nurnberger (60'), Kostadinov (64')
Curci (18'), da Graca (28'), Martins Pereira (36'), Carlson (38'), Bohnert (51'), Rodrigues (64')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Luxembourg
0-0
Bulgaria
> Preview
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
1-1
Bulgaria
Thill (3')
Chochev (68')
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
4-3
Luxembourg
Rangelov (16'), Marcelino (65'), Popov (79'), Tonev (92')
Joachim (60', 62'), Bohnert (91')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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> Premier League Full Table


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