Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 11.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-3 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.