MX23RW : Monday, April 21 23:22:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
Worthing

Balanta (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawWorthing
25.78% (1.345 1.35) 24.76% (0.37 0.37) 49.45% (-1.71 -1.71)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (-0.421 -0.42)49.12% (0.425 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (-0.382 -0.38)71.19% (0.386 0.39)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.90600000000001 0.91)33.46% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.978 0.98)70.09% (-0.974 -0.97)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.851 -0.85)19.88% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (-1.4 -1.4)52.01% (1.404 1.4)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 25.78%
    Worthing 49.44%
    Draw 24.76%
AFC HornchurchDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.251 0.25)
2-0 @ 3.99% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.35% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.78%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.115 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.68% (-0.322 -0.32)
1-3 @ 5.12% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.44%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Worthing
0-0
Hornchurch
Beard (51'), Black (65'), Bates (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Truro CityTruro City452511970403086
2Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd452414769412886
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne452413867432485
4Worthing4525101073571685
5Boreham WoodBoreham Wood452581283473683
6Dorking WanderersDorking452314887543383
7Maidstone UnitedMaidstone452115968363278
8Weston-super-MareWeston4520121364521272
9Farnborough TownFarnborough45188196766162
10AFC HornchurchHornchurch451614155554162
11Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.451711176371-862
12Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels451612175155-460
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City451514166861759
14Chippenham TownChippenham45178205765-859
15Chesham UnitedChesham451611186170-959
16Bath City451511194546-156
17Slough TownSlough451412196975-654
18Hampton & RichmondHampton45149226073-1351
19Enfield Town45139234883-3548
20Salisbury451015205568-1345
21St Albans CitySt Albans City45918184559-1445
22Welling UnitedWelling United45107284690-4437
23Weymouth45615244271-2933
24Aveley4587304379-3631


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!