Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
29.16% (![]() | 21.54% (![]() | 49.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.38% (![]() | 31.62% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.88% (![]() | 53.12% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% (![]() | 22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% (![]() | 55.31% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.62% (![]() | 13.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.7% (![]() | 40.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 6.79% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 8.97% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.02% (![]() 1-3 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 37 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 15 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |