

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 29.16% ( | 21.54% ( | 49.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.38% ( | 31.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.88% ( | 53.12% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( | 22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.69% ( | 55.31% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( | 13.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.7% ( | 40.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.16% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-3 @ 2.31% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 1-3 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 2-3 @ 4.58% ( 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 1-4 @ 3.04% ( 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.01% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 3-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 48 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 47 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 46 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 26 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 21 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 56 | -34 | 17 |
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
