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Adelaide United
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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 4, 2025 at 9.35am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Macarthur

Brisbane Roar
1 - 5
Macarthur

Abubakar (28')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jakolis (44', 55', 73'), Hollman (68'), Sawyer (90+7')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, March 30 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 3-3 Newcastle Jets
Friday, March 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMacarthur
35.95% (-0.513 -0.51) 22.74% (-0.433 -0.43) 41.31% (0.95200000000001 0.95)
Both teams to score 66.14% (1.592 1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (2.104 2.1)34.74% (-2.098 -2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (2.319 2.32)56.69% (-2.313 -2.31)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.697 0.7)19.86% (-0.691 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (1.111 1.11)51.97% (-1.106 -1.11)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (1.283 1.28)17.47% (-1.278 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (2.19 2.19)47.95% (-2.183 -2.18)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 35.95%
    Macarthur 41.31%
    Draw 22.74%
Brisbane RoarDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-0 @ 5.61% (-0.488 -0.49)
2-0 @ 4.53% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.414 -0.41)
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.241 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.17 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.172 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.079 0.08)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 41.31%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur

Brisbane Roar
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Macarthur
100%
5
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 8.35am
Gameweek 6
Macarthur
4-4
Brisbane Roar
Adamson (44'), Uskok (51'), De Silva (79'), Germain (83')
Sterjovski (21'), Germain (26'), Uskok (90+1'), Drew (90+6')
Waddingham (5', 29'), Arslanagic (67' og.), Uskok (90+3' og.)
Zabala (45+1'), Warland (65'), Bility (87'), Hingert (90+2')
Mar 16, 2024 5am
Gameweek 21
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Macarthur
Berenguer (14')
Hingert (37')
Uskok (26'), Borges Rodrigues (42')
Hollman (80'), Auglah (90+3')
Jan 18, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Macarthur
Markovski (62')
Caletti (36'), Parsons (66'), Hingert (67'), Majok (72')
Jelacic (88')
Davila (16'), Borges Rodrigues (53'), Drew (59')
Davila (36'), Adamson (47'), Uskok (88'), Oliveira (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 5.30am
Mar 5, 2023 4am
Gameweek 19
Macarthur
3-2
Brisbane Roar
Arabuli (14'), Millar (67'), McGing (90+5')
O'Shea (78'), Lofthouse (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC24148246232350
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City24135636241244
3Melbourne VictoryVictory2512674335842
4Western UnitedWestern Utd24125750351541
5Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney24117654391540
6Sydney FCSydney FC24107752401237
7Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2510785355-237
8Macarthur2596104942733
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2485114242029
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2466122740-1324
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2436152950-2115
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2435162055-3514


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