Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
35.95% (![]() | 22.74% (![]() | 41.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.27% (![]() | 34.74% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.31% (![]() | 56.69% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% (![]() | 19.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.03% (![]() | 51.97% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% (![]() | 17.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.05% (![]() | 47.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.91% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 39 | 15 | 40 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 37 |
7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 15 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |