Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.