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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 28, 2025 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Bristol City

Leeds
4 - 0
Bristol City

Tanaka (21'), Gnonto (55'), Ramazani (82', 90+4')
Tanaka (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 6-0 Stoke
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Bristol City

Since 2010, Leeds have racked up 15 wins in this head-to-head, with Bristol City winning just once - and that trend should continue on Monday. The Robins have won just four away games all season, so halting their free-flowing hosts will prove beyond them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
73.77% (0.587 0.59) 16.97% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 9.26% (-0.484 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.23% (-1.605 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (-1.065 -1.07)44.15% (1.07 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (-1.046 -1.05)66.53% (1.051 1.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (-0.131 -0.13)10.43% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.99% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)34.01% (0.306 0.31)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.27% (-1.717 -1.72)51.74% (1.723 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (-1.161 -1.16)85.83% (1.166 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 73.75%
    Bristol City 9.26%
    Draw 16.97%
Leeds UnitedDrawBristol City
2-0 @ 13.78% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.49 0.49)
3-0 @ 10.38% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-0 @ 5.87% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
5-0 @ 2.65% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.165 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.101 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 73.75%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.97%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.26%

How you voted: Leeds vs Bristol City

Leeds United
83.7%
Draw
7.1%
Bristol City
9.2%
141
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Bristol City
0-0
Leeds
Morrison (85')
Gnonto (40'), Tanaka (51'), Bogle (67')
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Dickie (63')
Gnonto (47')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Bristol City
James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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