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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Luton
1 - 1
Leeds

Jones (15')
Jones (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
James (28')
Bogle (40'), Solomon (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Luton
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds will be desperate to return to winning ways after drawing their last two matches, but we think that they will have to settle for a point when they face a Luton side that are rejuvenated after losing just one of their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town has a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Luton Town win it is 1-0 (6.83%).

Result
Luton TownDrawLeeds United
20.43% (1.02 1.02) 24.18% (0.499 0.5) 55.39% (-1.519 -1.52)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-0.703 -0.7)51.94% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-0.612 -0.61)73.69% (0.614 0.61)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (0.698 0.7)40.02% (-0.697 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (0.633 0.63)76.67% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (-0.827 -0.83)18.63% (0.827 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (-1.407 -1.41)49.94% (1.408 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 20.43%
    Leeds United 55.38%
    Draw 24.17%
Luton TownDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.315 0.32)
2-1 @ 5.26% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 20.43%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.52% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 55.38%

How you voted: Luton vs Leeds

Luton Town
19.2%
Draw
5.8%
Leeds United
75.0%
52
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Leeds
3-0
Luton
Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')
Jun 30, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Leeds
1-1
Luton
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-2
Leeds
Collins (54')
Bamford (51'), Pearson (90' og.)
Ayling (53')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Luton
0-1
Leeds

Lee (53')
Denton (23')
Grimes (1'), Coyle (62')
Jan 26, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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