Championship

Championship | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
4 - 0
Luton

McGuinness (30' og.), Foster (39'), Brownhill (53'), Barnes (90+4')
Cullen (16'), Pires (41'), Esteve (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Naismith (12'), Clark (53'), Nelson (80')
Naismith (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Luton Town
62.54% ( 0.91)	22.6% ( -0.42)	14.86% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 43.22% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.07% (

0.72)

53.93% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.62% (

0.6)

75.38% (

-0.6)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.22% (

0.57)

16.78% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.27% (

1.01)

46.73% (

-1.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.93% (

-0.26)

48.07% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72% (

-0.19)

83.28% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Burnley 62.54%

Luton Town 14.86%

Draw 22.6%

Burnley	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.54%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.6%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.86%

How you voted: Burnley vs Luton

Burnley

75.0%

Draw

11.1%

Luton Town

13.9%

Head to Head

Aug 12, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 1

Luton

1-4

Burnley

Chong (55')
Nelson (51'), Chong (60')

Brownhill (6'), Odobert (37'), O'Shea (72'), Vitinho (80')
Trafford (43'), Pires (59'), Cullen (62')

> Preview

Jan 12, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 21

Burnley

1-1

Luton

Amdouni (36')
Trafford (90+3')

Morris (90+2')

> Preview

Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm

Gameweek 2

Luton

1-2

Burnley

Adebayo (84')
Brown (36'), Burke (59'), Nakamba (90+3'), Chong (90+2')

Foster (45+2'), Bruun Larsen (85')
Roberts (66'), Taylor (90+4')

> Match Report

Feb 18, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 33

Luton

0-1

Burnley

Barnes (78' pen.)

> Preview

Aug 6, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 2

Burnley

1-1

Luton

Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')

Potts (5')
Morris (66')

> Preview

Form Guide

Cardiff 1-2 Burnley

Preston 3-0 Burnley

Burnley 4-0 Sheff Weds

Preston 0-0 Burnley

Burnley 2-0 Hull City

Southampton 0-1 Burnley

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table