Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Feb 23, 2025 at 12pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 0
Luton

Dele-Bashiru (11' pen.), Kayembe (23')
Ngakia (5'), Pollock (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Andersen (42'), Morris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Plymouth
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Luton Town
44.43% ( 1.31)	26.78% ( -0.43)	28.79% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 49.4% (

0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.71% (

1.23)

55.29% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.49% (

76.51% (

-0.99)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

1.22)

24.75% (

-1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

1.67)

59.32% (

-1.65)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

-0.02)

34.36% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

-0.02)

71.06% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Watford 44.43%

Luton Town 28.79%

Draw 26.78%

Watford	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.43%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.79%