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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2025 at 12pm UK
Vicarage Road
Luton Town

Watford
2 - 0
Luton

Dele-Bashiru (11' pen.), Kayembe (23')
Ngakia (5'), Pollock (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Andersen (42'), Morris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Plymouth
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-0 Luton Town

Winning just one of their 16 outings in the Championship this season, Luton are up against it as they travel down the M1 to Vicarage Road this weekend. Watford managed a standout success on Teesside last time out and should be confident of repeating the trick against their second-tier rivals on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLuton Town
44.43% (1.311 1.31) 26.78% (-0.425 -0.43) 28.79% (-0.876 -0.88)
Both teams to score 49.4% (0.78 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (1.225 1.23)55.29% (-1.216 -1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (1 1)76.51% (-0.99000000000001 -0.99)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (1.218 1.22)24.75% (-1.208 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (1.665 1.67)59.32% (-1.654 -1.65)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)34.36% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)71.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.43%
    Luton Town 28.79%
    Draw 26.78%
WatfordDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.191 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.227 0.23)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.215 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.408 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.444 -0.44)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: Watford vs Luton

Watford
80.0%
Draw
8.0%
Luton Town
12.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Luton
3-0
Watford
Clark (11'), Morris (47'), Brown (90+1')
Clark (16'), Doughty (35'), Hashioka (61')

Issouf Bayo (6'), Porteous (37')
Apr 1, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 39
Luton
2-0
Watford
Osho (28'), Campbell (90+1')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
4-0
Luton
Davis (3'), Troost-Ekong (45'), Pedro (57'), Sarr (79')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Watford
Collins (78' pen.)
Bradley (28'), Berry (80')

Femenia (72'), Troost-Ekong (75'), Sierralta (76')
Femenia (88')
Sep 26, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Watford
1-0
Luton
Pedro (35')

Pearson (75'), Norrington-Davies (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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