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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leeds logo

Watford
0 - 4
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-3)
James (20', 28'), Solomon (35'), Piroe (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 8 at 12.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Watford 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds have drawn seven of their 15 away Championship matches this season, and they will be coming against a Watford side that have only been beaten four times on home soil in the league this term; Leeds have been the best side in the Championship so far this season, but we are expecting them to drop two points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawLeeds United
19.06% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.68% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 57.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)51.7% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)73.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)77.89% (0.012 0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.012 -0.01)17.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 19.06%
    Leeds United 57.25%
    Draw 23.68%
WatfordDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 6.52% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 19.06%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 12.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 57.25%

How you voted: Watford vs Leeds

Watford
27.1%
Draw
18.8%
Leeds United
54.1%
85
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Watford
Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')
Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
2-2
Leeds
Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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