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Championship | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Watford

Ashford (65')
Chambers (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Issouf Bayo (87')
Ngakia (61'), Pollock (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 4-1 Watford
Thursday, January 9 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Watford

Given Watford's away record, Cardiff will feel that they are the marginal favourites to come through this contest. However, we feel that the Hornets' superior quality will shine through at some stage, earning them a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
46.68% (-0.481 -0.48) 25.23% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 28.09% (0.387 0.39)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (-0.16 -0.16)49.48% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (-0.146 -0.15)71.52% (0.146 0.15)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.277 -0.28)21.21% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.43 -0.43)54.11% (0.431 0.43)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (0.209 0.21)31.84% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (0.239 0.24)68.27% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 46.68%
    Watford 28.09%
    Draw 25.22%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.09%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
38.1%
Draw
17.9%
Watford
44.0%
84
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-2
Cardiff
Chakvetadze (38')
Louza (60'), Andrews (86')
Robinson (1', 42')
Rinomhota (55'), Chambers (69'), Daland (81')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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