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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford | 
| 46.68% (  -0.48) | 25.23% (  0.09) | 28.09% (  0.39) | 
| Both teams to score 53.7% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.51% (  -0.16) | 49.48% (  0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.48% (  -0.15) | 71.52% (  0.15) | 
| Cardiff City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.78% (  -0.28) | 21.21% (  0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% (  -0.43) | 54.11% (  0.43) | 
| Watford Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.16% (  0.21) | 31.84% (  -0.21) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% (  0.24) | 68.27% (  -0.24) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cardiff City | Draw | Watford | 
| 1-0 @ 10.47% (  -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.29% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.12% (  -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.8% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.2% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.75% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.86% (  -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.63% (  -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.07% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.98% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 6.75% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 5.32% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% (  -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.73% (  0.1) 1-2 @ 6.86% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 4.42% (  0.08) 1-3 @ 2.62% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 2.03% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% (  0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.09% |