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Championship | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Watford

Ashford (65')
Chambers (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Issouf Bayo (87')
Ngakia (61'), Pollock (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 4-1 Watford
Thursday, January 9 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Watford had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
46.68% (-0.481 -0.48)25.23% (0.094000000000001 0.09)28.09% (0.387 0.39)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (-0.16 -0.16)49.48% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (-0.146 -0.15)71.52% (0.146 0.15)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78% (-0.277 -0.28)21.21% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.43 -0.43)54.11% (0.431 0.43)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (0.209 0.21)31.84% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (0.239 0.24)68.27% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 46.68%
    Watford 28.09%
    Draw 25.22%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.09%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
38.1%
Draw
17.9%
Watford
44.0%
84
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-2
Cardiff
Chakvetadze (38')
Louza (60'), Andrews (86')
Robinson (1', 42')
Rinomhota (55'), Chambers (69'), Daland (81')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')