Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 1
Portsmouth

Kayembe (57' pen.), Vata (90+5')
Baah (30'), Kayembe (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Swanson (11')
Mousinho (31'), Pack (57'), Schmid (59'), Murphy (60'), Lang (64'), Swanson (75'), Moxon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Watford and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Watford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Portsmouth
56.73% ( -0.06)	24.07% ( 0.01)	19.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.98% (

0.03)

53.02% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

0.02)

74.61% (

-0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-0.01)

18.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

-0.02)

49.77% (

0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.01% (

0.08)

41.99% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58% (

0.07)

78.42% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Watford 56.72%

Portsmouth 19.2%

Draw 24.07%

Watford	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.2%

How you voted: Watford vs Portsmouth

Watford

74.5%

Draw

17.6%

Portsmouth

7.8%

Head to Head

Jan 2, 2012 3pm

Portsmouth

2-0

Watford

Mullins (87')
Kitson (79')

Dickinson (56'), Mariappa (66')
Loach (82')

Nov 19, 2011 3pm

Watford

2-0

Portsmouth

Kightly (2')
Hogg (75')

Kitson (57')

Jan 1, 2011 3pm

Watford

3-0

Portsmouth

Taylor (42'), Sordell (52'), Graham (69')

Dickinson (57'), Utaka (74')
Halford (90')

Oct 16, 2010 3pm

Portsmouth

3-2

Watford

Brown (80'), Mullins (17'), Kitson (72')
Mokoena (33'), Nugent (56'), Kitson (89')

Taylor (67')
Eustace (43')

Apr 9, 2007 3pm

Watford

4-2

Portsmouth

Mahon (46'), Bouazza (73', 28' pen.), Priskin (51')

Taylor (16')

Form Guide

Burnley 2-1 Watford

Watford 2-1 West Brom

Hull City 1-1 Watford

Watford 0-0 QPR

Watford 1-0 Bristol City

Plymouth 2-2 Watford

Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry

Derby 4-0 Portsmouth

Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich

Portsmouth 3-0 Bristol City

Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth

Portsmouth 3-1 Preston

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table