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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Brom logo

Watford
2 - 1
West Brom

Issouf Bayo (35', 50')
Sissoko (21'), Louza (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (68')
Molumby (53'), Fellows (81'), Swift (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Watford
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Looking to extend their Championship unbeaten run at Vicarage Road to 10 matches for the season, Watford will pose a serious test for West Brom this weekend. The Baggies were arguably lucky to win by two goals against Coventry last time out, and we reckon that the visitors will have to fight extremely hard for a point at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
41.17% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47) 27.05% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 31.79% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)55.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)76.44% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.255 -0.25)26.39% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.342 -0.34)61.55% (0.342 0.34)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.303 0.3)32.11% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (0.342 0.34)68.59% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 31.79%
    Draw 27.04%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Watford vs West Brom

Watford
34.8%
Draw
45.5%
West Bromwich Albion
19.7%
66
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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