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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Brom logo

Watford
2 - 1
West Brom

Issouf Bayo (35', 50')
Sissoko (21'), Louza (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (68')
Molumby (53'), Fellows (81'), Swift (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Watford
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Looking to extend their Championship unbeaten run at Vicarage Road to 10 matches for the season, Watford will pose a serious test for West Brom this weekend. The Baggies were arguably lucky to win by two goals against Coventry last time out, and we reckon that the visitors will have to fight extremely hard for a point at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
41.17% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47) 27.05% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 31.79% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)55.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)76.44% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.255 -0.25)26.39% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.342 -0.34)61.55% (0.342 0.34)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.303 0.3)32.11% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (0.342 0.34)68.59% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 31.79%
    Draw 27.04%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Watford vs West Brom

Watford
34.8%
Draw
45.5%
West Bromwich Albion
19.7%
66
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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