Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.