Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.