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FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chesterfield
West Brom
4 - 0
Chesterfield
Swift (23'), Rogic (48'), Livermore (54'), Malcolm (90+1')
Ajayi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Banks (68'), Dobra (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Chesterfield

Following a terrible scare in Chesterfield, now back on home soil, Albion's second string should make the most of their second chance. The hosts' greater individual quality is set to shine, as competition for places in a thriving team will spur them on to a place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
57.38% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 23.34% (-0.133 -0.13) 19.29% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.54% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.782 0.78)50.05% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.692 0.69)72.02% (-0.69 -0.69)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79% (0.262 0.26)17.2% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.461 0.46)47.48% (-0.46 -0.46)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (0.66500000000001 0.67)40.16% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.6 0.6)76.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 57.38%
    Chesterfield 19.29%
    Draw 23.33%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 10.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Chesterfield

West Bromwich Albion
74.2%
Draw
16.7%
Chesterfield
9.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Third Round
Chesterfield
3-3
West Brom
Williams (7'), Dobra (36', 41')
Quigley (64')
Thomas-Asante (2', 90+3'), Grant (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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