Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 42.62% ( | 26.35% ( | 31.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( | 52.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( | 74.32% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( | 24.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.04% ( | 58.95% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( | 31.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.29% ( | 67.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
| 2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
| 3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
| 4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
| 5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
| 8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
| 9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
| 11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
| 15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
| 17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
| R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
| R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
| R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
