Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 41%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 29.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.