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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
60.16% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() | 18.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% (![]() | 44.69% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% (![]() | 67.06% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% (![]() | 14.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.63% (![]() | 42.37% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.72% (![]() | 38.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% (![]() | 75.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
1-0 @ 10.69% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.35% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.26% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |