

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 60.16% ( | 21.67% ( | 18.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( | 44.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( | 14.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.63% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.72% ( | 38.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.96% ( | 75.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 6.68% ( 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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