Although Schalke's urgency to put more points on the board is clearly far greater than Werder Bremen's, we can envisage the visitors claiming a second successive away victory against relegation strugglers.
Having put four goals past Hertha without their top goalscorer even entering the pitch, they will feel supremely confident of achieving similar against Schalke, who conceded that exact amount last week. The hosts look doomed to a second relegation in three seasons.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Schalke 04 in this match.
-0.33) 
0.62) 
