Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.