

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Augsburg.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 37.81% ( | 25.08% ( | 37.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( | 46.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( | 68.34% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.74% ( | 58.25% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( | 24.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.2% ( | 58.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 3-1 @ 4% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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