Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.