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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Hertha Berlin logo
Augsburg
0 - 2
Hertha Berlin

Gruezo (31'), Berisha (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukebakio (57'), Richter (90+3')
Uremovic (23')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-0 Augsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Hertha Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Hertha Berlin

 With both sides struggling to find the net so far this season, it is hard to envisage too many goals between two teams short on confidence. However, Hertha have looked a more balanced outfit during the early weeks of Schwarz's tenure, and we can see them edging a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawHertha Berlin
33.92% (0.211 0.21) 26.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 39.49% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 52% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)52.88% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.282 -0.28)74.49% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)29.51% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)65.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.313 -0.31)26.22% (0.316 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (-0.425 -0.42)61.33% (0.427 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 33.92%
    Hertha Berlin 39.49%
    Draw 26.58%
AugsburgDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.115 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 39.49%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Hertha Berlin

Augsburg
37.5%
Draw
30.4%
Hertha Berlin
32.1%
56
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-1
Hertha Berlin

Oxford (26'), Gumny (51'), Framberger (90'), Gouweleeuw (90+6')
Serdar (49')
Selke (26'), Boateng (29'), Boyata (34'), Richter (64')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-1
Augsburg
Richter (40')
Richter (42'), Jovetic (90+6')
Gregoritsch (90+7')
Vargas (31'), Hahn (81'), Iago (90+6')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-1
Augsburg
Piatek (62'), Lukebakio (87' pen.)
Stark (45+2'), Lukebakio (72')
Benes (2')
Hahn (26'), Pedersen (49'), Gouweleeuw (80')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
0-3
Hertha Berlin

Caligiuri (18'), Gouweleeuw (38'), Gruezo (66')
Cunha (44' pen.), Lukebakio (52'), Piatek (86')
> Preview
May 30, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Augsburg
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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