Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.