

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg | 
| 62.27% | 19.9% | 17.83% | 
| Both teams to score 58.31% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.87% | 37.13% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.67% | 59.33% | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 88.55% | 11.44% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.74% | 36.25% | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.84% | 34.16% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.15% | 70.85% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg | 
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 7.13% 3-0 @ 6.64% 4-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.38% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 4.89% 0-1 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.83% Total : 17.83% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 45 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 41 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 30 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 27 | 
| 7 | Freiburg | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 25 | 
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 24 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 21 | 
| 10 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 20 | 
| 11 | Augsburg | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 18 | 
| 12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 17 | 
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 16 | 
| 15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 | 
| 16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 11 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 11 | 
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 10 | 
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