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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-0 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
17.47% | 21.58% | 60.96% |
Both teams to score 51.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% | 45.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.23% | 67.77% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.46% | 39.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.77% | 76.23% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% | 14.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.65% | 42.35% |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 5.29% 2-1 @ 4.75% 2-0 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.47% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 11.04% 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 6.4% 0-4 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.97% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.29% 1-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 45 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 41 |
3 | Stuttgart | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 33 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Freiburg | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 25 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 24 |
9 | Heidenheim | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 20 |
11 | Augsburg | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 18 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 17 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 16 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 16 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 11 |
17 | FC Koln | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 11 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 10 |
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