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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
47.07% | 23.45% | 29.48% |
Both teams to score 60.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.29% | 40.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.91% | 63.09% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% | 17.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% | 48.09% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% | 26.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% | 61.52% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 42 | 39 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 90 | 37 | 53 | 68 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 59 |
5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 50 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 36 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Augsburg | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 34 |
15 | Stuttgart | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 32 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 32 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 31 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
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