

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 47.07% | 23.45% | 29.48% |
| Both teams to score 60.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.29% | 40.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.91% | 63.09% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% | 17.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.9% | 48.09% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.48% | 61.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.07% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 42 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 90 | 37 | 53 | 68 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 63 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 47 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 45 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 32 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 31 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
