Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.65%) and 0-1 (5.57%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 32.26% | 21.8% | 45.94% | 
| Both teams to score 68.54% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 68.89% | 31.11% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 47.48% | 52.52% | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.97% | 20.03% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.77% | 52.23% | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.7% | 14.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.9% | 42.1% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 2-1 @ 7.2% 1-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.75% 2-0 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 7% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 5.65% 0-1 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 4.54% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.75% 2-4 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.71% 3-4 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.62% Total : 45.94% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 
| 2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 30 | 
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 30 | 
| 4 | Freiburg | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 | 
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 29 | 
| 6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 28 | 
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 | 
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 22 | 
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 21 | 
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 21 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 20 | 
| 12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 16 | 
| 15 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 15 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 | 
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 14 | 
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 9 | 
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