

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 52.7% (  -0.5) | 21.53% (  0) | 25.77% (  0.5) | 
| Both teams to score 64.49% (  0.52) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.63% (  0.46) | 34.36% (  -0.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.72% (  0.51) | 56.28% (  -0.51) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.71% (  0.01) | 13.29% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.88% (  0.01) | 40.11% (  -0.01) | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.38% (  0.6) | 25.62% (  -0.6) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.49% (  0.81) | 60.51% (  -0.81) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 2-1 @ 9.44% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.93% (  -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.87% (  -0.16) 3-1 @ 6.35% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.67% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.33% (  0.05) 4-1 @ 3.21% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.35% (  -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.18% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 1.29% (  -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% (  0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 9.36% (  -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.43% (  0.07) 0-0 @ 3.41% (  -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.96% (  0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.37% (  0.07) 0-1 @ 4.64% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.16% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% (  0.08) 1-3 @ 2.89% (  0.08) 0-3 @ 1.43% (  0.04) 2-4 @ 0.99% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% (  0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.77% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 | 
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 | 
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 | 
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 | 
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 | 
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 | 
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 | 
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