

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 52.7% ( | 21.53% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( | 34.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( | 56.28% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( | 13.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.88% ( | 40.11% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( | 25.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.49% ( | 60.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 6.93% ( 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 5-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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