

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 39.53% | 23.57% | 36.9% |
| Both teams to score 63.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% | 38.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% | 61.09% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% | 19.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.89% | 52.11% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% | 21.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.9% | 54.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.13% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 42 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 90 | 37 | 53 | 68 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 63 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 47 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 45 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 32 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 31 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
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