Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen
We said: Freiburg 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen
These two sides head into their clash on Sunday in similar runs of form, as well as similar positions in terms of quality displayed this season so far. For this reason, we are predicting a draw at the Europa-Park Stadion, in what is sure to be a tight encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 35.64% | 24.22% | 40.14% |
| Both teams to score 60.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
