Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 51.16% | 23.16% | 25.68% |
| Both teams to score 58.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% | 42.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% | 16.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.62% | 46.38% |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% | 29.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.07% | 65.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 5.79% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.16% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 55 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 53 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
| 9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 24 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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