Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.05%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 22.48% | 22.47% | 55.05% | 
| Both teams to score 57.13% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.7% | 42.3% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.29% | 64.71% | 
| Hertha Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.43% | 32.57% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.89% | 69.1% | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.72% | 15.27% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.02% | 43.97% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 2-1 @ 5.88% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.45% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.53% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.5% 2-3 @ 3.46% 1-4 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.05% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 22 | 44 | 49 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 23 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 49 | 
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 44 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 42 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 42 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 39 | 
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 | 
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 34 | 
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 31 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 30 | 
| 12 | FC Koln | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 27 | 
| 13 | Augsburg | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 27 | 
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 20 | 
| 15 | Stuttgart | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 | 
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 19 | 
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 19 | 
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 19 | 
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