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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
46.69% (![]() | 22.9% (![]() | 30.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.44% (![]() | 37.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.21% (![]() | 59.78% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% (![]() | 16.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% (![]() | 46.2% (![]() |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% (![]() | 58.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 4.45% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 10.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.24% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |