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Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK at Bold Stadium
Major League Soccer |
Austin
1 - 0
Montreal
Urruti (88')
Wolff (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saliba (8'), Piette (57')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-3 Saint Louis City
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 CF Montreal

Both sides enjoyed fantastic campaigns last year, but with Montreal losing key players in the off-season, we think that Austin will take the three points here. The Verde and Black will be looking to respond to last week's defeat, and we think that they will have too much firepower for Montreal.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawCF Montreal
46.69% (0.295 0.3) 22.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 30.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Both teams to score 63.29% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.44% (-0.131 -0.13)37.55% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21% (-0.141 -0.14)59.78% (0.136 0.14)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.059000000000012 0.06)16.48% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (0.108 0.11)46.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)24.21% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-0.342 -0.34)58.55% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 46.69%
    CF Montreal 30.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Austin FCDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Austin vs Montreal

Austin FC
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
CF Montreal
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Austin
Urruti (67')
Pereira (6'), Urruti (45+1'), Cascante (48'), Gallagher (60')
Pereira (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England9621158720
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96211210220
3Atlanta UnitedAtlanta95311813518
4New York City FCNY City94321210215
5Columbus Crew94231810814
6Nashville SCNashville933385312
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia93241413111
8DC United93241113-211
9Orlando City8323810-211
10Chicago Fire82421212010
11Toronto91621213-19
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC92341016-69
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls915369-38
14Inter MiamiInter Miami820669-36
15CF MontrealMontreal8206517-126

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City961221101119
2Seattle SoundersSeattle96121771019
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles85301661018
4Dallas94231211114
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes94231111014
6Houston DynamoHouston8413108213
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd832388011
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8242117410
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake83051017-79
10Portland TimbersPortland92251115-48
11Colorado RapidsColorado9153611-58
12Austin FCAustin8224612-68
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy8134712-56
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas9036313-103

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