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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
68.89% (![]() | 17.69% | 13.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.31% (![]() | 35.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.24% (![]() | 57.75% (![]() |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.6% (![]() | 9.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.39% | 31.61% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% (![]() | 38.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.48% (![]() | 75.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 4.75% 4-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.6% 5-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 2.13% 5-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.43% Total : 68.88% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.64% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.69% | 1-2 @ 3.87% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.81% Total : 13.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 |
2 | Orlando City | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 54 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 52 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 50 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 46 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 41 |
9 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 40 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 39 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 33 |
15 | Toronto | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 56 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 47 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 46 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 43 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 43 |
9 | Dallas | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 26 |