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Sep 18, 2022 at 2am UK at Austin FC Stadium
Austin
1 - 1
Nashville
Driussi (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (56' pen.)

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 3-0 Salt Lake
Thursday, September 15 at 2.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-2 Nashville SC

Although Nashville won 3-0 when the two sides met at the start of the month, Austin will have home advantage in their favour this time around, and we think that the hosts will be able to hold their in-form opponents to a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawNashville SC
47.38% (0.314 0.31) 24.2% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 28.42% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2% (0.046999999999997 0.05)44.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)67.16% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.145 0.14)19.03% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (0.241 0.24)50.6% (-0.248 -0.25)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.17 -0.17)29.17% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (-0.209 -0.21)65.11% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 47.38%
    Nashville SC 28.42%
    Draw 24.19%
Austin FCDrawNashville SC
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 47.38%
1-1 @ 11.34% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Austin vs Nashville

Austin FC
41.2%
Draw
41.2%
Nashville SC
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 2.29am
Nashville
3-0
Austin
Zimmerman (49'), Williams (82', 90+1')
Williams (83')

Fagundez (39'), Cascante (54'), Lima (75'), Djitte (90+4')
Djitte (90+5')
May 24, 2021 2am
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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