This is a tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, particularly as Getafe are not losing too many at the moment despite their position in the table. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that a tight game will finish all square on Sunday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
0.46) 
-0.13) 
