This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Sunday. Almeria will be the fresher of the two teams, but they have been so disappointing on their travels this season, and we are backing Sevilla to have enough quality to secure a huge three points this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
-1.45) 
0.77) 
